Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.702944 1.961504 2.245785 2.581512 2.967180 3.396400 3.910444
2025-05-11 1.347473 1.686721 2.091164 2.608809 3.253909 4.031696 5.041432
2025-05-18 1.062172 1.428269 1.896172 2.537930 3.395655 4.503346 6.044449
2025-05-25 0.838696 1.201247 1.693913 2.412103 3.432957 4.833448 6.904279
2025-06-01 0.708080 1.073078 1.597005 2.403543 3.614820 5.368653 8.106884
2025-06-08 0.596896 0.952109 1.487953 2.354608 3.722688 5.802695 9.214069
2025-06-15 0.549497 0.918471 1.500887 2.486324 4.114281 6.702102 11.141237
2025-06-22 0.493855 0.862023 1.468082 2.537262 4.379493 7.431068 12.887752
2025-06-29 0.435145 0.790939 1.400057 2.517396 4.519788 7.966658 14.373877
2025-07-06 0.370720 0.700069 1.285144 2.398592 4.469284 8.165116 15.290615
2025-07-13 0.347281 0.679770 1.291289 2.495983 4.815629 9.098877 17.644850
2025-07-20 0.329550 0.667426 1.309675 2.617101 5.219003 10.180777 20.407700
2025-07-27 0.304965 0.639628 1.297649 2.683051 5.535040 11.156428 23.135713
2025-08-03 0.278735 0.604845 1.267476 2.708991 5.775698 12.017413 25.756386
2025-08-10 0.246071 0.551892 1.193431 2.634091 5.798298 12.441951 27.532048
2025-08-17 0.212993 0.493177 1.099311 2.502824 5.681769 12.559651 28.662046
2025-08-24 0.194000 0.463193 1.063043 2.493558 5.830954 13.262885 31.176255
2025-08-31 0.174197 0.428477 1.011606 2.442590 5.878252 13.745890 33.252185
2025-09-07 0.169195 0.428238 1.038882 2.579083 6.380145 15.321011 38.096165
2025-09-14 0.159153 0.414205 1.031816 2.631843 6.687919 16.481116 42.094011
2025-09-21 0.145834 0.390016 0.997020 2.611202 6.811731 17.215505 45.134542
2025-09-28 0.128530 0.353038 0.925673 2.487969 6.659162 17.251469 46.402158
2025-10-05 0.124095 0.349714 0.939573 2.588960 7.102564 18.842466 51.943019